Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001094 0.001181 0.001273 0.001379 0.001498 0.001628 0.001781
2025-12-07 0.000954 0.001068 0.001194 0.001348 0.001530 0.001742 0.002009
2025-12-14 0.000871 0.000998 0.001146 0.001332 0.001564 0.001845 0.002221
2025-12-21 0.000800 0.000934 0.001093 0.001301 0.001567 0.001905 0.002376
2025-12-28 0.000719 0.000851 0.001011 0.001223 0.001502 0.001867 0.002392
2026-01-04 0.000664 0.000795 0.000956 0.001175 0.001469 0.001864 0.002452
2026-01-11 0.000629 0.000762 0.000928 0.001158 0.001474 0.001911 0.002584
2026-01-18 0.000603 0.000738 0.000910 0.001151 0.001493 0.001976 0.002748
2026-01-25 0.000658 0.000822 0.001039 0.001354 0.001821 0.002521 0.003724
2026-02-01 0.000617 0.000776 0.000988 0.001302 0.001773 0.002491 0.003761
2026-02-08 0.000584 0.000740 0.000950 0.001264 0.001742 0.002488 0.003840
2026-02-15 0.000564 0.000720 0.000932 0.001254 0.001754 0.002552 0.004045
2026-02-22 0.000541 0.000697 0.000913 0.001247 0.001779 0.002654 0.004365
2026-03-01 0.000513 0.000667 0.000883 0.001221 0.001771 0.002700 0.004589
2026-03-08 0.000492 0.000645 0.000862 0.001207 0.001782 0.002780 0.004896
2026-03-15 0.000469 0.000618 0.000833 0.001180 0.001767 0.002811 0.005103
2026-03-22 0.000436 0.000577 0.000781 0.001112 0.001676 0.002693 0.004964
2026-03-29 0.000413 0.000549 0.000746 0.001070 0.001628 0.002649 0.004988
2026-04-05 0.000398 0.000532 0.000728 0.001055 0.001626 0.002695 0.005230
2026-04-12 0.000386 0.000520 0.000717 0.001049 0.001641 0.002776 0.005569
2026-04-19 0.000418 0.000574 0.000811 0.001227 0.002011 0.003644 0.008245
2026-04-26 0.000397 0.000547 0.000777 0.001181 0.001950 0.003571 0.008242
2026-05-03 0.000381 0.000526 0.000750 0.001147 0.001912 0.003546 0.008384